Powell Calls It

For the next two weeks, I'll have my eye on the polls in Virginia and Missouri.

Missouri because politically, it's the bellweather state. Besides being geographically central, Missouri voted for the president in every election since 1948 (except 1960 and that was one of the closest elections in history). And Virginia because according the calculations, the GOP simply cannot win without this traditionally Republican state, in which Obama is now up in the polls by more than the margin of error.